INTEL
Quantum Intelligence

The most comprehensive open analysis of quantum readiness

1,222 papers across 20 research areas. 81 startups and $11.8B in funding. 124 chains scored. 189 deals. Everything a CISO, CTO, or board member needs. Vendor-neutral. Updated quarterly. Free.

01

Research

Output peaked in 2023 with 334 papers. The field is shifting from theory to building. 26 papers survived our commercial viability screen.

Output over time
Papers published per year, 2020–2026
334 peak (2023)
14× growth to peak
26 commercially viable
02

Startups & Funding

$11.8B chasing quantum. Hardware dominates at 74.6%. The real opportunity is in underserved categories: error correction, developer tools, PQC.

Funding by category
Where the $11.8B went
03

Revenue

Government controls 39.5%. The top 3 sectors hold 72.1% of all quantum revenue. 14 deals exceed $50M.

Revenue by sector
$2.65B annual quantum revenue across 10 industries
04

Chain Vulnerability

123 of 124 chains use cryptography already broken on paper. Only Algorand scores above 3.0. This is not a future risk.

Quantum Vulnerability Matrix (preview)
Showing 6 of 124 chains · 8 dimensions · Score 0–4
05

Domain Network

20 research domains. Amber dashed lines mark whitespace: high similarity, low paper overlap. These gaps are where the next companies get built.

01 · Research

1,222 papers. 20 domains. The field is shifting from theory to building.

Output peaked in 2023 at 334 papers, representing 14× growth from 2020. The 2024–2025 plateau signals maturation: foundational research is sufficient to build commercial products. 26 papers survived our venture viability screen.

1,222
total papers
20
research topics
334
peak year (2023)
26
commercially viable
Output over time
Papers per year. 2026 is partial (Q1–Q2).
By research area
Top 10 topics by paper count

Key insight: The top 3 areas (Algorithms, QML, Chemistry) account for 43% of all output. But the fastest-growing area is Hardware & Implementation at +188% YoY. Theory is mature. Building has begun.

Publication trends by topic, 2020–2026
Topic Analysis
20 areas ranked by volume
02 · Startups

$11.8B is chasing quantum. Your competitors are in those pitch decks.

Hardware dominates at 74.6% of total funding. But the real signal is in underserved categories: error correction at $100M, developer tools at $200M, cybersecurity at $950M. The top 3 startups hold 40% of all quantum funding. This is a power law.

$11.8B
total raised
81
startups
$68M
avg round
2019
median founded
Funding by category
Where the $11.8B went
Funding by stage
Round distribution

Key insight: PsiQuantum alone raised $2.3B. The top 3 hold 40% of all quantum funding. This market is not evenly distributed. It's a power law with a long tail of $5–50M seed-stage companies that represent the next wave.

Top 10 Funding Rounds
Sorted by round size
Startup Directory
81 quantum companies. Search, sort, and filter.
Showing 15 of 81 startups
Company Total Funding ↓
Top Investors
Who writes the checks. 251 unique investors across 7 regions.
251
Unique Investors
Quantonation
Most Active (10 deals)
$3.3B
Top Portfolio (NVIDIA)
7
Regions Covered
03 · Revenue

Government controls 39.5%. If you're not selling to the top 3, you're fighting over 28%.

134 enterprise customers across 10 industries. Government + defense + tech controls 72.1%. 14 individual deals exceed $50M. The median deal is $1–5M, but the fat tail changes everything.

$2.65B
annual revenue
39.5%
government share
14
deals >$50M
10
industries
Revenue by industry
Percentage of annual quantum revenue
Deal sizes
189 deals by value range

Key insight: The median deal is $1–5M (74 deals), but 14 deals above $50M account for over 60% of total contract value. In quantum, a single government contract can outweigh 50 commercial ones.

26
Exploring
70
Piloting
23
Deploying
15
Scaling
All Customers (134)
Sorted by quantum spend
Customer Industry Maturity Total Spend
04 · Chains

123 out of 124 chains use cryptography that has already been broken on paper.

Each chain is scored 0–4 across 8 quantum readiness dimensions using our QR8 framework. A score of 0 means no protection against known quantum attacks. A score of 4 means post-quantum cryptography is implemented and governance is in place for migration.

QR8 Scoring Methodology
Each chain is evaluated on 8 dimensions. Each dimension scores 0–4 where 0 = no quantum resistance, 4 = post-quantum ready.
Signature
Digital signature algorithm quantum resistance. ECDSA/EdDSA = 0–1, hybrid schemes = 2–3, CRYSTALS-Dilithium = 4.
Hashing
Hash function quantum safety. SHA-256 provides partial resistance (Grover reduces to 2^128). Score reflects hash output size and usage.
Consensus
Consensus mechanism quantum exposure. PoW mining advantage, PoS validator key compromise, BFT leader election attacks.
Key Mgmt
Key derivation and management. BIP-32/SLIP-10 path exposure, HD wallet quantum safety, key rotation capability.
Smart Contract
On-chain program quantum exposure. Signature verification in contracts, address derivation, replay attack surfaces.
Tx Privacy
Transaction privacy mechanism resistance. UTXO exposure, zk-SNARK quantum safety, confidential transaction schemes.
PQC Plan
Published post-quantum migration roadmap. 0 = none, 1 = acknowledged, 2 = research, 3 = testnet, 4 = mainnet implementation.
Governance
On-chain governance ability to upgrade cryptographic primitives. Fork requirement, upgrade mechanism maturity, community alignment.
123
exposed
1
PQC-ready
1.5
avg score
3.5
ALGO avg
8
dimensions

Key insight: The average chain scores 1.5/4. This is not a future risk with a vague timeline. It's a present vulnerability. The question is not "if" but "when," and the timeline is measured in years, not decades.

Full Vulnerability Matrix
16 chains × 8 dimensions
Score: 0Critical 2Exposed 3Partial 4Ready
05 · Network

20 domains. The whitespace between them is where the next companies get built.

Hover any domain to see its connections. Solid lines: established overlap. Amber dashed lines: whitespace opportunities with high similarity but low paper overlap. These gaps represent uncontested market space.

Strongest whitespace signals: Finance × Cybersecurity, Healthcare × Chemistry, RL × Cybersecurity. Each pair has >85% topic similarity but <5% paper overlap. A product waiting to be built.